NHL Player Props: How to Find the Best NHL Player Props Today

NHL Player Prop Markets Explained

Each NHL prop market is priced differently and decided by different inputs. Everything else in this guide builds on these four.

Goals Props

Goals are the most popular NHL prop, offered as an anytime goal scorer bet or an over/under 0.5 goals priced like a moneyline (Over 0.5 at +110, Under 0.5 at -140). Goals are rare events. Leon Draisaitl won the Rocket Richard Trophy in 2024-25 with 52 goals in 71 games, roughly 0.73 per game. For most forwards, not scoring is the likelier outcome on any given night, so the price matters more than the pick. Here is a rough way to turn a scoring rate into a fair anytime price, using the same Poisson method from our guide to pricing anytime goalscorer bets:

• 0.30 goals per game (a 25-goal pace): about 26% to score, fair odds around +286

• 0.49 goals per game (a 40-goal pace): about 39% to score, fair odds around +158

• 0.73 goals per game (Draisaitl's 2024-25 rate): about 52% to score, fair odds around -107

Treat those as a starting point. Power play time, the opposing goalie, and projected ice time all push the real probability up or down, and anytime prices on stars usually carry more juice than the fair number.

Assists Props

Assists props usually sit at 0.5 with similar pricing. Nikita Kucherov and Connor McDavid both reached 100 assists in 2023-24, well above one per game, and a playmaker at that level clears 0.5 far more often than an elite goal scorer clears a goal. Primary and secondary assists both count, so first-unit power play time is the input to check first.

Shots on Goal Props

Shots on goal (SOG) measure volume, not finishing, which makes them the steadiest NHL prop category. Lines typically range from 1.5 to 4.5, with high-volume shooters like David Pastrňák and Nathan MacKinnon at the top of the board. The weak spot in SOG pricing is that lines lean on season averages and are slower to account for the opponent's shot suppression and pace. When I line up the same SOG prop across books in an odds screen, the number usually matches, but the juice on the over can differ by 20 cents or more, and that gap is value you keep just by shopping.

Saves Props

Goalie saves props track how many shots the starting goaltender stops. The key input is the opponent's shot volume: a team generating 34 shots a night creates a very different environment than one generating 27. Game flow matters too. Trailing teams push in the third period and pile up shots, while a lopsided game can go quiet. Confirm the starter before betting, and read your book's settlement rules, since how a saves prop grades when the listed goalie does not start varies by book.